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Many people have been calling this for a while now but it became official on March 28th, 2008 that PMI [Private Mortgage Insurance] on Zero percent down loans is now gone. So what does this mean?…. It means that the days of buying a house with no cash at all are gone… at least for the time being. Coming up to fill the void is FHA loans which have become less restrictive and allow a purchase with just 3% down. You can learn more about FHA loans Here. PMI is generally required on loans with less than 20% down.

Click here to see James Adair’s commentary on the same subject.

In other news, this week has seen a big increase in buyers getting out there and buying; for two reasons: seasonal increases due to Spring and also buyers trying to make it under the wire with 0% down loans. This will be taking alot of inventory off the market in April and bodes well for a strong Summer to come.

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There is a definite sense that things are picking up right now in Portland. I took a look at the numbers and, Wow! Pending sales of detached homes are up 107% in March over February. Buyers are coming out of the woodworks and multiple offers are becoming common again.

Here is a Breakdown of Pending sales of Detached homes in March [actual numbers exceeded projections!]

NE: Feb 79 - Mar 158
SE: Feb 102 - Mar 215
N: Feb 38 - Mar 89
W: Feb 45 - Mar 104

Totals:
Feb 264 - Mar 566

Percent increase = 114%

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I was interviewed by a cool new website called www.portlandonfire.com that profiles one Portlander every day.

See the interview here

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A month ago when the numbers showed that Portland Metro had almost 13 months of inventory I broke it down to the close-in neighborhoods and showed that we still have a balanced market. A couple days ago news came out that inventory has Dropped back to 10.4 months and the number of closed sales are way up over January - 28% more to be exact.

A couple more surprises… Median price is up 5.5% over last February …. Interest rates are going up very rapidly … Stated income loans are about to disappear in the next two weeks. Economists are starting to say buy now and that we might be at, or very close to the bottom. I don’t have a crystal ball but there are some amazing deals out there and they won’t last forever.

Here’s an example of the cost of waiting: Let’s say that you were able to make the payment on a $400,000 loan at 5.2% which = $1733/mo in interest [rates were at this point a month or so ago] Rates are at 6.2% and rising right now. That means the same monthly payment of $1733/mo in interest now only buys you $335,000 - that means you just might have lost $65,000 in buying power. Prices aren’t falling in Portland and even in areas where they are you still lose by waiting if interest rates go up. Here is the best explanation of how this works.

A great article about over-priced / under-priced markets and why to buy now.

Now - Don’t give up just yet. I think it is a great time to buy and you should feel good about getting in the game. The strength of the market will hopefully mean you will do well by buying and holding your home or investment property. Another thing is that rising interest rates signal a healthier econmony which means we’ll be making more and have better job security.

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If you’ve met me in person I’ve likely told you the story about my first sale ever in real estate. With my license freshly in hand I went out and bought a home for myself as my first transaction. I remember how excited and scared I was in making the offer, negotiating, and signing the papers to close the deal. I remember waking up a couple days after moving in and how elated I was to own my own home!

Last week I refi’d to take advantage of the low rates and was reminded of what it’s like to go through a transaction personally. I had questions about different charges, I was nervous about the appraisal, I wanted to know when the money would show up and when the credits for pre-paids would come back to me.

I think that buying my home first made me more aware of the excitement and fears all buyers have when they are buying a home. Recently, going through a refi I was able to experience first hand again all the excitement of making money by owning property but also the fear that something might go wrong.

So if you’re thinking of buying or selling you know that I’m aware of how you’re feeling and I’m here to make the process go as smoothly as possible.

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With the National market in flux and certain segments of our local market slowing, buyers are looking for ways to save money and sellers are looking for a way to get out of trouble. Those two goals sometimes intersect with something called a short sale. A short sale is where a Lender agrees to let a seller sell their home for less than what is owed on the property. That is the basic idea but the reality is more complicated and the process often times takes quite a bit longer than a traditional 30 day close.

I have spoken with quite a few agents who handle short sales and bank owned properties and the consensus has been that in Portland you don’t really get a great deal and it takes in many cases 5 months to close. This is because Oregon is very under-represented when compared to the rest of the country in foreclosures and other distressed types of sales and this means that those properties often sell for close to market value. On the flip side I have clients that have bought properties for much less than market value. I think it has much more to do with the amount of inventory that bank currently holds versus the specific market.

The bottom line is that you need to talk with a Real Estate Attorney, a CPA, and an experience Realtor before you decide to enter into a short sale.

For more detailed info check out these two articles:
Selling a Short Sale
Buying a Short Sale

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